张耕,陈国华,苏燊,等. 基于PSO-LSTM的低温压力容器真空失效程度时序预测[J]. 真空与低温,2023,29(6):636−642. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-7086.2023.06.012
引用本文: 张耕,陈国华,苏燊,等. 基于PSO-LSTM的低温压力容器真空失效程度时序预测[J]. 真空与低温,2023,29(6):636−642. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-7086.2023.06.012
ZHANG G,CHEN G H,SU S,et al. Timing prediction of vacuum failure degree of cryogenic pressure vessel based on PSO-LSTM[J]. Vacuum and Cryogenics,2023,29(6):636−642. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-7086.2023.06.012
Citation: ZHANG G,CHEN G H,SU S,et al. Timing prediction of vacuum failure degree of cryogenic pressure vessel based on PSO-LSTM[J]. Vacuum and Cryogenics,2023,29(6):636−642. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-7086.2023.06.012

基于PSO-LSTM的低温压力容器真空失效程度时序预测

Timing Prediction of Vacuum Failure Degree of Cryogenic Pressure Vessel Based on PSO-LSTM

  • 摘要: 针对低温压力容器在运行过程中可能受到震动等影响导致的真空夹层泄漏、真空夹层压力上升以及内胆压力快速升高等问题,设计了一种结合群智能算法与神经网络的低温压力容器真空失效程度时序预测算法。通过对低温压力容器真空失效的过程进行简化仿真模拟,获取低温压力容器真空失效过程中的各参数变化情况,形成失效数据集。使用该数据集进行长短期记忆网络(LSTM)模型训练以预测低温压力容器真空失效程度,结合粒子群算法(PSO)对LSTM模型的超参数进行寻优。最后使用训练完成的PSO-LSTM模型对低温压力容器真空失效程度进行时序预测,并对该时序预测模型的预测效果进行了分析。

     

    Abstract: In order to solve the problems such as vacuum interlayer leakage, pressure rise of the vacuum interlayer and rapid increase of inner pressure caused by vibration during the operation of cryogenic pressure vessel, a sequential prediction algorithm of vacuum failure degree of the cryogenic pressure vessel was designed by combining swarm intelligence algorithm and neural network. The process of vacuum failure of the cryogenic pressure vessel is simplified by simulation, the variation of various parameters in the process of vacuum failure of the cryogenic pressure vessel is obtained, and the failure data set is formed. The data set is used to train the LSTM model to predict the vacuum failure degree of the cryogenic pressure vessel. The hyper-parameters of the LSTM model are optimized by the particle swarm optimization algorithm. Finally, the trained PSO-LSTM model is used to predict the vacuum failure degree of the cryogenic pressure vessel in time series, and the prediction effect of the time series prediction model is analyzed.

     

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